Saturday, July 25, 2020

Invest to Watch

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is watching a vigorous tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic for possible development. 

Satellite View



As of Saturday, it is just an area of clouds and rain. NHC has deemed it Invest 92L.
This term means it's an area NHC would like to INVEST-igate further, 92 is just a tracking number, and "L" stands for Atlantic Basin. Its a measure used to keep track of any emerging tropical system.

There is very little information on its health at the moment, but this is what we have so far.

  • Location: Eastern Atlantic Ocean, roughly 11.1 N, 28.7 W. A few hundred miles SW of the Cape Verde Islands.
  • Winds: Estimated to be hovering under 30 mph 
  • Moving: In a Westerly direction at an estimated speed of just over 20 mph. 
  • Rain: Satellite views show it has an area of disorganized showers & storms


Growth Potential 



We are quickly moving into the most active part of hurricane season, and anything stirring in the Tropics is worth watching. NHC suggests when the wave moves into the area highlighted in red, it will get a 70% chance of becoming a depression or a storm in a period of 5 days.


Why not sooner?



Thank Saharan Dust. A large plume of it is sitting ahead and to the north of the wave. The dust tends to keep tropical features in check.

Where is it going?
Presently we know it will move towards the Lesser Antilles.
By now I'm sure you have seen countless spaghetti models suggesting it can be anywhere from the Caribbean to near Florida.  As of this moment, without a well defined spin or a center of circulation, models have no set starting point. Without that, they can't give you a good ending point, so they're showing you a guesstimate.

Worry Meter:
Everyone living in the Tropics including us in South Florida, should be prepared at all times for a possible tropical strike. No threat at the moment for anyone. Keep monitoring and I'll keep you posted.

We'll be watching


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