Fierce Florence

There's nothing left to say to folks living along the coast of South & North Carolina... "Get out of the way!"

Hurricane Florence remains a ferocious category 4 system with winds of 140 mph.

It 's well organized, good feeder banding, a well developed eye and nothing in its way to debilitate it.

The National Hurricane Center is using words in their storm advisories like, dangerous, life threatening, and catastrophic. This in not code and they are not sugar coasting it. This will be a killer storm.

You need to get out of the way.

The cone of concern shows the system making landfall on Thursday and then weakening inland. It will slowly weaken across the area dumping a lot of rain.

This is the reason why it will stall over the region. A cold front with a dome of high pressure moves in trapping Florence for a few days. Eventually the front will push it out over the Northeast.

Rain forecasts indicate anywhere from 1 to 2 feet of rain widespread, with a few spots seeing as much as 4 feet through next Tuesday. This will lead to catastrophic flash flooding.

Our impacts from Florence will be in the form of rough surf mostly for Palm Beach and Broward Counties with up to 5 foot waves.

Tropical Storm Isaac is also on pace to make landfall across the Lesser Antilles, but it's looking more and more disorganized. The winds came down at the 11 pm advisory from 70 mph, to 65. 

 

 

Having said the, the National Hurricane Center keeps it as a storm through much of the Caribbean Sea. Coastal Haiti, Dominican Republic and Jamaica should monitor closely.

These are just two of the five areas NHC is watching.

There's also Helene. It should weaken across the Northern Atlantic in the days ahead. It may brush the Azores towards the end of its life cycle.

Then a vigorous tropical wave near the Yucatan Peninsula has a high chance for development. A 70% chance it could develop into a depression or a storm in the area highlighted. 

 

These very early model runs are just giving an educated guess since nothing has developed yet. But if it does, they are trending the track towards Southern Texas. Mexico and Louisiana should monitor as well.

 

 Then an area in the middle of the Atlantic with nothing there now, has a 50% chance for a system to develop over a period of 5 days.

We'll be monitoring.