7Weather has been following an area of disturbed weather over the Central Atlantic since last Saturday. Even though it's surrounded by dry air and hostile conditions it promises to develop in the next few days. It may become a depression or possibly TS "Bertha".
NHC gives it a 70% chance for development over 5 days. By then it may be close to the Lesser Antilles. Long range models are not in agreement as to where it may go afterwards. Some keep it in the Caribbean while others displace it across the Bahamas and east of the mid Atlantic states.
I'll wait for the afternoon discussion from NHC to give our friends in the Caribbean a more detailed assessment.
For the moment here's the last update from NHC.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
Well said. No hype. Pure facts.
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