Low over the Bahamas

For my friends in the Central and Northwestern Bahamas, many of you have contacted me with worries regarding the area of disturbed weather over you. Right now, it is a stretched-out area of low pressure that extends from the Central Bahamas north to near the Carolinas.

The satellite imagery shows areas shaded in dark orange highlighting the heaviest areas of rain. All that is headed north and will continue to provide heavy rain for you for a few more days.

This is what NHC is saying:

• AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 175 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA. 
• SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO BEFORE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS BECOME UNFAVORABLE.
• THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. 

If it develops,  most models aim this system toward the Carolinas. We'll wait and see what develops, if anything as some strong upper winds are forecast to push off the East Coast that could destroy this tropical system.