Wet weekend?

There is  a major event this weekend in Broward with the air and sea show, and of course its also 5 de Mayo. Wouldn't you know it, this is the time Mother Nature picks to spin up a disturbance in the tropics. Most models show it aiming for us and bringing with it a good chance for rain.

Lets take a look at the Headlines

• There is a broad spin over the Bahamas loaded with moisture. This disturbance is highly disorganized which makes it the more difficult to forecast with precision. Disturbances can grow quickly or fall apart just as fast. If this one holds on, we are looking at the potential for weekend downpours.

• The National Hurricane Center (NHC), looked at this disturbance and said there is a zero percent chance it could develop into something more serious. This is their report:

A large area of showers and thunderstorms near the Bahamas is
associated with an upper-level low pressure system and a surface
trough.  The system is forecast to move westward over the Florida
peninsula on Saturday with no significant development.  Locally
heavy rains and gusty winds are possible over portions of the
Bahamas and southern Florida through this weekend.  Please monitor
products from your local weather office for more details.  No
additional Special Outlooks on this system will be issued unless
conditions warrant.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

  

 Island Impacts

Puerto Rico:

Showers and thunderstorms will continue through Monday, with localized
urban and small stream flooding expected each day. Hazardous seas of
6 to 8 feet are expected across local and outer waters, including the
Mona and Anegada Passages except for the near shore waters on the west
coast. The high risk of rip currents is expected to continue until
Monday with some beaches of the southeast coast affected on Sunday.

Dominican Republic:
Possible heavy rain across the northern coast could lead to flash flooding. Residents should monitor.

Haiti:
Possible floods and landslides across low laying areas.


The Bahamas:
You can expect on and off rain through early next week. At times the wind could pick up specially during heavy downpours.

Cuba:
Possible big downpours over Eastern Cuba, capable of street flooding.

South Florida :

The disturbance, if it hasn't fallen apart, will move over South Florida pushing in moisture by Saturday. It will bring us a good chance for pockets of heavy rain.

By Sunday, lingering moisture could still keep us soggy. Hoping for drier conditions by Tuesday. Remember, these  systems are very fickle. It could just as easily fall apart within 12 hours. We can only go by the models and they show us staying wet at least though the second half of the weekend.