The chances for a system to develop in the Gulf of Mexico are steadily rising. Its gone from a 40% chance on Monday, to 50% on Tuesday, and up to 60% this Wednesday morning.
The area that the National Hurricane Center is monitoring is presently sitting in the Northwestern Caribbean Sea. Nothing has changed as far as its health is concerned. The low is causing widespread showers that stretch across the Caribbean and into the Florida Straits.
The long range models still insist on something developing in the Gulf as the low moves north. Where it may end up is still unclear. The models have a wide span placing a tropical or subtropical system anywhere between South Florida and Louisiana by the second half of the weekend.
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