This is just 1 of 5 areas we are keeping track of in the Atlantic basin. After weeks of no activity, it has suddenly come alive.
This is the latest as of 5pm, direct from the National Hurricane Center.
Most of the models are in agreement that the system will continue to push west by high pressure to the north.
There is Saharan dust to its north but it has had little impact on keeping the storm at bay. Unfortunately strong upper level winds ahead of it that could weaken it, appear to subside, dropping to a mere 3-5 mph.
This will allow "Danny" to grow in strength. Most models suggest it could be a Category 2 (around 98 mph) just east of the Lesser Antilles by Sunday.
Tropical systems do not travel in a straight line, they tend to wobble like a spinning top. This system could be anywhere within that cone of concern.
The European model keeps the system moving across the Caribbean Sea, while the GFS turns it more northeast, in a path closer to the Leeward Islands.
No one wants to be impacted by a category 2 system, but if you have been following some of my previous posts, the Caribbean Islands are under a severe drought. While the wind and the surf are not welcome, the rain could be just what they needed. Take a look at some of the conditions the drought has caused over the area. Not in the graphic, Jamaica losing most of its coffee crop and Cuba running about 75% dry.
We will be following this system in the days ahead and keeping you updated.