Thursday, August 13, 2015

El Niño Advisory

El Niño Advisory: El Niño conditions are expected to continue.
You hardly ever hear of such an advisory issued, but this year's El Niño event 
could be the strongest on record.

On Thursday August 13th, NOAA issued their outlook for the rest of the year and into the early part of 2016.

This is what they said:

There is a greater than 90% chance that El Niño will continue 
through Northern Hemisphere winter 2015-16, and around an 85% chance it will 
last into early spring 2016.

Basically their update concluded that the Pacific Ocean is hotter than average 
and it will remain that way for a while.

They added that most models are calling for an even stronger event by 
late fall or early winter of this year. 

NOAA is predicting that this El Niño could be among the 
strongest El Niños in the historical record dating back to 1950. 

So what does this mean for us?
Their outlook suggests: 
  • Temperature and precipitation impacts associated with El Niño are expected to remain minimal during the remainder of the Northern Hemisphere summer and increase into the 
    late fall and winter. 
  • El Niño will likely contribute to a below normal Atlantic hurricane season, and to above-normal hurricane seasons in both the central and eastern Pacific hurricane basins

El Niño is a warming of the Equatorial waters of the Pacific Ocean. They not only impact marine currents, but atmospheric ones as well. They tend to disrupt weather patterns across the globe causing droughts, floods, and heat waves across the globe. The one benefit it has, is that it keeps hurricane activity to a minimum for us, but many areas in the tropics get hurt because they receive much of their water supply from tropical systems.


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