What a mess

Florida is surrounded by plenty of moisture.  It all began on Saturday, July 2nd,  when a huge tropical wave moved over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.  It dumped huge amounts of rain over the region, the most impressive coming out of Dominican Republic.

Rain Amount        Location
6.75 INCHES      YAMASA
6.92 INCHES      INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT LAS AMERICAS
7.2 INCHES        BARAHONA
7.41 INCHES      SANTO DOMINGO...
7.75 INCHES      BOTANICAL GARDENS
8.15 INCHES      LA VICTORIA.

The wave then split in two, with the main body tracking west over Jamaica and Western Cuba, and the northern end moving into the Northern Bahamas.

As the Caribbean wave moves into the Yucatan, an upper low over the Gulf of Mexico will pull moisture here and keep us quite soggy on Wednesday.  On Thursday, after a good soaking of the Bahamas, that second wave moves in keeping us wet through the weekend.

Here is the kicker with the wave over the Bahamas. A few models develop this wave into a low and track it north to the Carolinas.  Let's see if anything develops here.

This is the CMC model. On the link below you will notice a closed low developing just off shore Florida and then tracking towards the Middle Atlantic States. Once loaded press the forward button to animate.

CMC model run courtesy FSU