Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Hurricane Forecasting Improved today

Storm model improvement

Weather lovers have come to know the two most relied-upon models for storm forecasting, the European model and the Global Forecast System (GFS). The latter is operated by NOAA here in the US.



There has always been a concern that the GFS was lacking a bit in its forecasting capabilities, specially when we are tracking hurricanes.




Today this model is getting a huge shot in the arm to help improve its forecasting muscle. It is being upgraded to contain, what NOAA is calling, the Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere (FV3).  This will help it deliver better forecasts for hurricanes, severe storms, and even winter weather. The new GFS will utilize a combo of short and long range modeling to deliver a more precise forecast.  This is welcomed news when we talk about hurricane tracking.



Hoping we won't get a chance to use it this year. Info Courtesy NOAA


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