Tuesday, September 9, 2014

Gaining steam

As of Tuesday morning NHC is watching one area of low pressure in the Far Eastern Atlantic. There appears to be areas of thunderstorm activity highlighted by the golds and oranges in the satellite representation.

Its chances for development have gone up an extra 10% this morning over the next 5 days. Yesterday it was holding steady at 60%, today its gaining a little steam.

This is what NHC has to say:

A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the Cape Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and

Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for gradual development of this disturbance during the next several days while it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

The models are also shifting just a little father west, but the general consensus is that even if it develops it will remain an open water system. By the way the next name on the list is "Edouard".

Local Rain?:
South Florida may still get a soaking over the next few days due to a series of features trying to merge over Florida.  the models suggest an upper low over the Bahamas could throw some moisture our way while a weak wave over Cuba could do the same.

(Waves are very fickle they can grow quickly or fall apart just as fast.)  If the above ingredients come together we may see more rain from Wednesday through Friday.

As of early afternoon: NHC is now watching a disturbance just East of Florida.

We'll keep you posted.

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