Tropical Depression Four

Very early on Wednesday morning, NHC started issuing advisories on an area of Low Pressure very far away from home, Its in the Eastern Atlantic, roughly 3500 miles away from South Florida.

Top winds are around 35 mph and it is moving West at 20 mph.

As of 5am, it has a well defined center with nominal thunderstorm activity.

It is being pushed west by a huge dome of high pressure.

So what lays ahead?

• For the time being TD4 is moving over warm waters with very little shear and should have a chance to become Tropical Storm Dorian.
• But in a couple of days, it will run into drier air and some shear that should keep the system in check,  
• Intensity forecasting is not an exact science, but NHC keeps the system with 45 mph winds over the next 5 days. In a week or so it may be close to the Lesser Antilles.

Plenty of time to watch it.