Saturday, May 19, 2012

New "Invest"

Low pressure off the East Coast, being watched by NHC.

A quick glance:
The image below shows a blob of clouds and rain over the Carolinas, this is an area of low pressure being monitored by the Hurricane Center.  It is starting to look more and more like a tropical low. It is siting over 100 miles Southeast of Myrtle Beach, and is expected to remain there over the next few days. It will continue to produce copious amounts of rain. This system could become a depression or a tropical storm over the next 24 hours.

There is another area of low pressure (The swirl east of the Carolias), the tail from this one, extends South through the Bahamas and then West over South Florida.

Shades of reds and oranges indicated pockets of heavy rain.

What to expect:
We should see more rain over the weekend as this "tail" will barely move east.  Everyone from South Florida through the Bahamas will get on and off t-storms. Things may improve by early next week.

This feature could be a big rainmaker for the East Coast

Where is the low by Myrtle Beach going? 
A quick look at some of the early model runs, suggests this feature will meander along the Mid-Atlantic states before the jet-stream pushes it out to the Northern Atlantic.  Because this area is of interest to the National Hurricane Center, it is being deemed as "Invest 93". This means it is an area they would like to "INVESTigate" further. NHC is giving this feature a medium chance for development as of Saturday morning... a 50% chance.

We'll keep you posted.

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