Sunday, May 27, 2012

Beryl headed for Florida / Georgia Border

Hurricane hunters are in the system right now.
  • Air Force recon data within past hour to NE of center of Beryl found max surface winds increased to 60 mph.
  • It will move SW and be near the warning area by Sunday night/Monday morning
  • Tropical Storm force winds extend out from center up to 90 miles
  • There are some more storms trying to wrap around the center.
  • Most of the heavy rain is to the northeast of the center

Beryl is about 125 miles E from Jacksonville, FL with 55-60 mph winds.

A Tropical Storm Waring is now in effect from Volusia County in Florida north to Edisto Beach So. Carolina.

Everyone along the Warning area should remain vigilant as Beryl nears the coast.

Beryl is starting to move out of the Gulf Stream and over cooler shelf waters, so it has a very small window of opportunity if it wants to intensify.

Once it makes landfall it will quickly lose steam.

What to expect:
They may get to tropical storm strength 39 mph and above as it nears the coast between Northern Florida and South Carolina. A warning has been issued for this area.

Storm Surge:
The combination of the push of water caused by Beryl and high tide will cause some flooding along the coast. The water could rise anywhere between 1-3 feet, with the highest level right where Beryl makes landfall and just to the north. Here the surge will bring large waves leading to coastal flooding. Of course the local waters will be choppy, boating is not recommended.

The Southeastern Coast could see accumulations anywhere between 3-6 inches.

So you ask, "What's a subtropical storm?".

A sub-tropical cyclone is a low-pressure system existing in the tropical or subtropical latitudes (anywhere from the equator to about 50°N) that has characteristics of both tropical cyclones and mid-latitude (or extra tropical) cyclones. Therefore, many of these cyclones exist in a weak to moderate horizontal temperature gradient region (like mid-latitude cyclones), but also receive much of their energy from convective clouds (like tropical cyclones).

The tail end of the Subtropical storm will also move west. This tail is loaded with moisture and could bring us a chance for storms both Sunday and Monday.

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