Monday, October 17, 2011

Wet Week Ahead

NHC is looking at an area of disturbed weather near the Yucatan Peninsula for further development. They are giving it a moderate chance that it will become a tropical system in the days ahead as it tracks toward Florida. This feature is loaded with moisture and it will continue to soak us at least through mid-week.

It continues to produce pockets of heavy rain from Mexico through Cuba, and South Florida.

This is what you can expect this Monday:

  • Mostly cloudy and rainy
  • Windy at the coast
  • Flood Watch for Miami-Dade and Broward counties through early evening, with the threat of ponding until 6 am Tuesday morning.
It has been raining non stop in many areas since Saturday and the ground is saturated. Any additional rain will surely lead to street flooding.

This threat will remain from the Keys through Broward at least through Wednesday as that area of disturbed weather continues to organize. A recon plane will check it out later today. Even if doesn't grow into a depression or a tropical storm it will keep us soggy.

This is what the latest suite of model runs is showing. It appears it will cut through Central Florida by Thursday. We'll keep watching it.

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