Record Rain?

Rain is coming down across South Florida and it could lead to serious street flooding over the next 24 hours. We are expecting the heaviest of the rain from Sunday Night through Monday night.

We are stuck between three weather features:

• High pressure to the north
• Low pressure to the south
• Plenty of moisture in the Caribbean

The first two will continue to keep us breezy and help syphon up moisture from the Caribbean pocket of rain.


NWS is suggesting we could see rainfall totals between 3-5 inches which are near record values for this time of year. They also stated:

"A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY NIGHT."


At the same time, that pool of moisture in the Caribbean Sea is also being watched by NHC. They are now giving it a 50% chance it could grow into a tropical system over the next few days.

There is plenty of rain and thunderstorm activity over the Yucatan Channel. Much of it is being pushed over Cuba and ending up here.

Most models take this feature over Florida and then into the Atlantic.

Even if it doesn't get any stronger, it will help dump even more rain over the area in the days ahead.

NHC has deemed this INVEST 95.  Here is the latest suite of model runs. A recon plane is on stand-by to INVESTigate the system further on Monday if need be.