Friday, July 6, 2018

Beryl aims for the Islands & a new depression is born

Two to watch into the weekend. Hurricane "Beryl" in the Mid Atlantic Ocean and tropical depression #3 just off the Carolinas. Recon missions have been scheduled for both on Saturday.


Hurricane "Beryl" is an extremely small system. Its cloud cover could safely fit between Miami & Orlando. The dangerous hurricane force winds are only in an area 10 miles wide, almost the same distance between Miami Beach and Miami International Airport.

 


These are the latest numbers as of 11 pm Friday night.  "Beryl", has been lucky so far due to high pressure sitting over it allowing warm moist air to rise and create thunderstorms. Even with dry Saharan air to its north, it is managing to thrive. But look at that spike of cloud cover coming out of the south over the islands, that is shear. These are strong upper winds that can shred a storm apart. It will be interesting to see what will happen to "Beryl" once it runs into that.
  
Where is it going?

 

The official cone from the National Hurricane Center (NHC), suggests it may impact the islands over the weekend as a category 1 system. When Hurricanes are this small it's very difficult to really get a good handle on strength. Everyone across the islands, should keep an eye out on this one.

New Depression


As of Friday afternoon, NHC, began tracking tropical depression #3. This one should remain weak for another day or two, spinning off shore for awhile. It will be trapped by a front to the west and high pressure to the east. It should become a tropical storm over the weekend and if it does, it will be called "Chris". It may eventually become a hurricane by next week.

Where is this one heading?



Eventually the cold front should lift the system and push it northeast, hoping that on this track it impacts no land areas.

We'll be updating as needed.

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