Thursday, May 7, 2015

Ready to develop

Recon flew into a disturbance Thursday morning, and detected a low a couple of hundreds miles SE of the Carolinas.

This is what they found:

The low is stationary , there is some wind with it 40-45 mph in the NW sector, with some pockets of heavy rain.  If it does develop it may well be a sub-tropical storm.   This is basically a hybrid system between a regular area of low pressure with a cold center, and a tropical system with a warm center. Either way, its going to be a soggy weekend for the Mid Atlantic States.

NHC also adds: (Their latest update)
Advisories on this system nay start at 11pm Thursday Night .Environmental conditions are favorable for some additional development, and any increase in the organization of the associated thunderstorm activity would result in the formation of a subtropical

The low is expected to drift to the north or north-
northwest over the next couple of days, and interests along the southeastern coast of the United States should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rain
is expected over portions of the coastal southeastern United States
for the next few days.

This is a good reminder that Hurricane season begins June 1st.

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