Thursday, November 5, 2020

Now we Watch

Weaker Eta still dumping rain across Central America. Now Cuba, South Florida and the Bahamas wait for its second act.



Eta still has a broad spin but it is quickly losing all the checkmarks of having "depression" classification. It should become a a regular area of low pressure later today. It will continue to drench many areas across Central America.

What is Next?


  • Models indicate that high pressure steering Eta west is leaving the area and moving back into the Atlantic. 
  • Another spin developing in the Gulf, but in the upper levels of the atmosphere, will begin to push Eta back into the Caribbean Sea.  Eventually Eta will re intensify into a tropical storm. 
  • The track suggests it will cut across Cuba, and as it enters the Florida Straits, it will hit the high pressure system now sitting across the Bahamas. Depending how early or late this bounce happens, will determine where Eta will end up.
  • The center of Eta could be anywhere inside the cone, not just where the storm symbol is situated.

Its intensity is being set at Tropical Storm, but be ready just in case it decides to get a little stronger on its arrival.

Even if the system arrives weak anywhere near So Florida, it is still capable of heavy downpours that will lead to the threat of street flooding.  NWS may issue a flood watch as their models show the potential for anywhere between 7 to 10 inches.


Please stay alert.



No comments:

Post a Comment