The National Hurricane Center (NHC) says the disturbance in the Caribbean Sea is looking rather disheveled. On Monday, they called it a broad area of low pressure, on Tuesday it was just an area of clouds and rain. Even if it doesn't develop it may still drop rain across parts of Central America, the Cayman Islands, and Western Cuba.
On the satellite picture you can barely see the state of Florida on the NW corner. There are plenty of clouds across the Western Caribbean, and that's the disturbance we are following. It is now known as Invest 91 L. This just means it's an area NHC would like to INVEST-igate further, 90 is just a tracking number, and "L" is for the Atlantic Basin.
On Tuesday night, the chances for development over 48 hours came down from 10% to zero. The probabilities of the disturbance organizing over 5 days remains at 20%. It now appears if it develops it will do so over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
South Florida is looking good right now. High pressure over the Western Atlantic should keep it away from us and in the Gulf. It may keep all the rain associated with it by Mexico and maybe Texas if it doesn't fall apart before then.
No comments:
Post a Comment