Friday, October 16, 2015

Interesting 48 hours

The forecast over the next 2 days will be a little tough. We are surrounded by many features that could make for a soggy weekend. You can even throw into the mix some tropical activity in the long term.

We begin with a front aiming for us.
This front should stall over South Florida over the weekend. Depending on where it sets up, this will dictate where it will rain.

If it stalls by the Straits... more rain for the Keys and less for us, but if it stalls over Miami-Dade & Broward, the rain will impact the mainland.

Add to the mix, a broad area of low pressure, presently featured as just clouds and rain.

 Its located in the Western Caribbean Sea, loaded with moisture and moving west. 

If it can survive its trek over land, it should emerge across the Bay of Campeche in the SW Gulf of Mexico.

NHC is giving this feature a 20% chance for development over 5 days.

If it can make it there, everyone across the Gulf States should monitor it closely.

For the time being, its expected to drop plenty of rain across Honduras, Belize, and the Yucatan Peninsula.

This may lead to localized flooding, land and mudslides. We'll be watching closely.




Back to South Florida. 
As the front approaches, winds should veer out of the Southwest.

This may give the front a chance to tap into all the tropical moisture related to the broad low. This connection could make for a soggy weekend.

The local NWS office expects the wind to pick up making for choppy seas. This may not be the best of weekends to be out on a boat.

Check out the latest outlook:

INCREASING NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BRING BUILDING SEAS AND
DETERIORATING BOATING CONDITIONS FOR BOTH THE ATLANTIC AND GULF
WATERS LATE THIS WEEKEND AND THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

THE RISK OF ATLANTIC COAST RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO INCREASE THIS
WEEKEND AND THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

Keep it tuned to WSVN for the latest.









 

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