Mexican radar is showing that a surface circulation may be already forming about 50 miles Northeast of Cancun. Meanwhile, satellite imagery shows that more thunderstorms are developing around that possible center of circulation. Because of this, NHC is raising the chances of development from 70% during the overnight, to 80% this morning. This wave may become a Depression later today or even Tropical Storm "Don", down the road.
|Storm information valid as of:||Wednesday, July 27, 2011|
|Location:||56 miles NNE from Cancún,México|
|Hurricane Hunter:||Scheduled for today|
|Pressure (MSLP):||1008 mb (29.77 inches)|
|Sustained wind speed (1 min. avg.):||35 mph|
Plenty of rain can be expected over Western Cuba and the Yucatan peninsula. If this system remains as a depression, it could be the answer to Texas's prayers. They are in a severe drought and this rain would be a huge relief.
The latest suite of model runs keep the wave tracking northwest and threatening anywhere from Northern Mexico, to Texas and Louisiana. NO worries for us.
This tropical wave came to life last week near the Lesser Antilles. It traveled west over the high terrain of Dominican Republic and Haiti keeping it in check until reaching Central Cuba.
In the short term, there is plenty of moisture with this wave and some of it could track here. Expect some showers and t-storms to pop up over our area with a better chance towards the Keys and Southwest Florida.