Mexico is in the middle of the worst drought they've had in 70 years... Arlene may provide some relief, but at a cost.
The first tropical storm in the Atlantic Basin for 2011 is poised to make landfall on Thursday on the Mexican Gulf coast. It will pound the area with wind gusts in excess of 5o mph, while just to the North of where it comes a shore, the sea will batter the region with big waves and a 1-2 foot surge, but this will not be the worst of it...it will be the rain. There is a small chance Arlene could grow stronger as it approaches Mexico due to the warm waters it will be traveling over. Warm water is the gasoline for these tropical engines.
Arlene, may drop anywhere between 4 to 8 inches on the parched Mexican soil with most of it coming down across the states of Tamaulipas, Veracruz, and Eastern San Luis Potosi. Inland mountainous regions may get up to 12 inches or more. This may lead to Flash floods which in turn could cause land and mudslides . With little time to prepare or evacuate, this heavy rain will probably take a human toll on the region, I wish them well.
South Florida has already seen indirect impacts from Arlene in the form of rain and we will see more at least through Thursday.
Plenty of moisture from Arlene is being pulled here by strong upper level winds which may keep us soggy till the end of the week.