As of Tuesday morning the area of disturbed weather in the Caribbean Sea has been classified as Tropical Depression 16. A recon plane will investigate the area later today. The models show it tracking towards us. The plane will get a better handle on its intensity and future growth. It appears that by this afternoon it will become a Tropical Storm.
As of 11 am, all of Southeast Florida is under a Tropical Storm watch.
The system will come for us. We won't have to chase it. It should track up the Florida Keys into Miami Dade, Broward, and exiting Palm Beach .
Models here: http://www.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal/xweb%20weather/hurricane%20model%20plots
This system has so much rain with it that South Florida could see a generous soaking starting this afternoon. Already we've seen isolated pockets of t-storms throughout the area. NWS has issued a Flood Watch for this afternoon. Between Tuesday and Wednesday we could see 4-8 inches of rain with pockets of more.
The Caribbean has become a tropical system nursery. Long range models show yet another disturbance brewing by Friday.